India Is Targeting a $5 Trillion Economy by FY29. The Harder Question Is What Gets Us There
India’s $5 trillion economy ambition has been around for several years. What has changed is the timeline and, more importantly, the economic environment in which India now has to achieve it. The latest projections put India on track to reach the $5 trillion mark around FY2028-29, with the delay from earlier expectations reflecting factors including rupee depreciation and changes in the global economic environment. I don’t think the interesting question anymore is whether India can cross a particular dollar figure. The more important question is what kind of economy India builds on the way there. India’s latest official numbers provide a strong starting point. Real GDP is estimated to have grown 7.7% in FY2025-26, with nominal GDP reaching approximately ₹346.36 lakh crore. The IMF currently projects real growth of 6.4% for 2026, even against a global environment marked by geopolitical tensions and higher energy risks. Those are encouraging numbers. But sustaining that growth over severa...